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Global warming turning out to be setting record cold temps

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visual ray wizard





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Cosmic rays account for nearly 40% of global warming PostSat Jan 22, 2011 9:04 pm  Reply with quote  

ttp://www.thehindu.com/todays-paper/tp-national/article1107174.ece

TODAY'S PAPER » NATIONAL
NEW DELHI, January 21, 2011
Cosmic rays contribute 40 p.c. to global warming: study

PRISCILLA JEBARAJ
SHARE  ·   PRINT   ·   T+  
Physicist U.R. Rao says carbon emission impact is lower than IPCC claim
A key belief of climate science theology — that a reduction in carbon emissions will take care of the bulk of global warming — has been questioned in a scientific paper released by the Environment Ministry on Monday.

Physicist and the former ISRO chairman, U.R. Rao, has calculated that cosmic rays — which, unlike carbon emissions, cannot be controlled by human activity — have a much larger impact on climate change than The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) claims.

In fact, the contribution of decreasing cosmic ray activity to climate change is almost 40 per cent, argues Dr. Rao in a paper which has been accepted for publication in Current Science, the preeminent Indian science journal. The IPCC model, on the other hand, says that the contribution of carbon emissions is over 90 per cent.

‘Cosmic ray impact ignored'

Releasing Dr. Rao's findings as a discussion paper on Thursday, Environment Minister Jairam Ramesh noted that “the impact of cosmic ray intensity on climate change has thus far been largely ignored by the mainstream scientific consensus.” He added that the “unidimensional focus” on carbon emissions by most Western countries put additional pressure on countries like India in international climate negotiations.

The continuing increase in solar activity has caused a 9 per cent decrease in cosmic ray intensity over the last 150 years, which results in less cloud cover, which in turn results in less albedo radiation being reflected back to the space, causing an increase in the Earth's surface temperature.

While the impact of cosmic rays on climate change has been studied before, Dr. Rao's paper quantifies their contribution to global warming and concludes that “the future prediction of global warming presented by IPCC's fourth report requires a relook to take into the effect due to long term changes in the galactic cosmic ray intensity.”

Policy implications

This could have serious policy implications. If human activity cannot influence such a significant cause of climate change as cosmic rays, it could change the kind of pressure put on countries to reduce carbon dioxide emissions.

Mr. Ramesh emphasised that Dr. Rao's findings would not reduce domestic action on climate change issues, but he admitted that it could influence the atmosphere of international negotiations.

“International climate negotiations are about climate politics. But increasingly, science is becoming the handmaiden of politics,” he said.

In November 2009, Mr. Ramesh had released a report by glaciologist V.K. Raina claiming that Himalayan glaciers are not all retreating at an alarming pace. It had been disputed by many Western scientists, while IPCC chairman R.K. Pachauri dismissed it as “voodoo science.” However, Dr. Raina was later vindicated by the IPCC's own retraction of its claim that the Himalayan glaciers would melt by 2035.

“Since then, Western Ministers have reduced talk about the glaciers to me, they have stopped using it as frequently as a pressure point for India to come on board,” said Mr. Ramesh.

When Mr. Ramesh sent Dr. Rao's paper to Dr. Pachauri, he replied that the next IPCC report was paying special attention to the impact of cloud cover on global warming. The Minister expressed hope that Dr. Rao's findings would be seriously studied by climate researchers.

“There is a groupthink in climate science today. Anyone who raises alternative climate theories is immediately branded as a climate atheist in an atmosphere of climate evangelists,” he said. “Climate science is incredibly more complex than [developed countries] negotiators make it out to be… Climate science should not be driven by the West. We should not always be dependent on outside reports.”

Disputing IPCC claims

According to the latest report by the IPCC, all human activity, including carbon dioxide emissions, contribute 1.6 watts/sq.m to global warming, while other factors such as solar irradiance contribute just 0.12 watts/sq.m.

However, Dr. Rao's paper calculates that the effect of cosmic rays contributes 1.1 watts/sq.m, taking the total contribution of non-human activity factors to 1.22 watts/sq.m.

This means that increased carbon dioxide emissions in the atmosphere are not as significant as the IPCC claims. Of the total observed global warming of 0.75 degrees Celsius, only 0.42 degrees would be caused by increased carbon dioxide. The rest would be caused by the long term decrease in primary cosmic ray intensity and its effect on low level cloud cover.

This means that predicting future global warming and sea level rise is not as simple as the IPCC makes it to be, since it depends not only on human activity, but also significantly on the unpredictability of cosmic ray intensity.

“We conclude that the contribution to climate change due to the change in galactic cosmic ray intensity is quite significant and needs to be factored into the prediction of global warming and its effect on sea level raise and weather prediction,” says the paper.
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Chinese are increasing their food imports to make sure PostTue Feb 08, 2011 4:43 am  Reply with quote  

Food prices in their country stay relatively stable as is possible.

Corn Prices To Soar As Chinese Imports Increase Ninefold Compared To Official Projections
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 02/06/2011 20:56 -0500



Cotton, wheat, rice, and now corn. If revised Chinese import estimates by the US Grain Council are even remotely correct, look for corn prices of $6.80 a bushel at last check to jump by at least 15% in a very short amount of time. As the FT reports, "Corn prices – and with them, the price of meat – are set to explode if the latest import estimates from China are correct. The US Grain Council, the industry body, said late on Thursday that it has received information pointing to Chinese imports as high as 9m tonnes in 2011-12, up from 1.3m in 2010-11." Why is this a concern? Because "the US Department of Agriculture, which compiles benchmark estimates of supply, demand and stocks, forecast Chinese imports at just 1m tonnes in 2011-12." In other words, the whole forecast supply-demand equilibrium is about to be torn to shreds. And all this excludes the impact of neverending liquidity by the one and only, which will only make the speculative approach to surging corn relentless.

For those who think that there is any even remote hope of a respite in the endless climb in prices, we suggest reading the following:

The most China has imported in modern history is 4.3m tonnes in 1994-95 and 3m tonnes in 1978-79. For most of the past 50 years, Beijing has been largely absent from the international market, as domestic production was enough to meet demand.

But Terry Vinduska, the chairman of the council, said after visiting China that “estimates given to us were that China is short of 10m-15m tonnes in stocks and will need to purchase corn this year”. He pointed to about 9m tonnes in imports. “We learned the government normally keeps stocks at 30 per cent but they are currently a little over 5 per cent, which may lead to imports of 3m-9m tonnes.”

It is not the first warning of forthcoming massive imports. Recently, David C. Nelson, at Rabobank, one of the world’s largest lenders to the global agribusiness industry, warned that because China’s animal protein industry is so large, the order of magnitude of China shifting to become a net importer of corn could possibly be measured in tens of millions of tonnes, and in just a few years time.

“We note that China could become a net importer of 25m tonnes of corn as early as 2015,” he said. Senior executives at trading houses took note of Rabobank’s forecast.
Is corn set to be another soyabean?

The US Grain Council did not disclose where it got the information and Chinese food import policy is erratic. With corn nearly at a record high, the country could very well opt to further drawdown stocks.

But the forecast of record imports still need to be taken seriously. When China started to import soyabean back in 1995, few thought the country would today be buying nearly 60 per cent of all the global trade in soyabean.
While China waving it in needs little explanation for the observent ones, here's what this means from a third party:

Most of the traders I have spoken to believe that China will become a big corn importer, although none believe it will follow the same pattern as in soyabean. Even so, 9m tonnes is a huge number. Enough to push corn prices above the 2007-08 record of nearly $7.65 a bushel. In early trading on Friday, corn was at $6.65 a bushel.
And with six sigma floods, record cyclones, massive snowstorms and abrnomal climatic patterns now a near-daily event courtesy of the Jet Stream having decided to take a sabbatical, the only thing the grains and softs market needs is a lit match to set the whole thing ablaze. Luckily we have our very own chaircreature doing his best to make sure that the commodities market makes eating an activity best enjoyed by those who will be bailed out by the administration the next time there is a downtick in the market. OUCH!

ttp://www.zerohedge.com/article/corn-prices-soar-chinese-imports-increase-ninefold-compared-official-projections
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Forecast for Indianapolis for today PostThu Mar 10, 2011 1:06 pm  Reply with quote  

Sunrise: 07:04 AM (EST)
10:00 AM

36 °F Snow Showers
Winds 12 mph NW
56% chance of precip.
1:00 PM

38 °F Snow Showers
Winds 13 mph NW
56% chance of precip.
4:00 PM

Huge union rally in Indianapolis today and the forecast is for cloudy skies today. Wink wink. Weather permitting, might be a good time to do a sky clearing today. Pics to follow....

38 °F Snow Showers
Winds 13 mph NW
56% chance of precip.
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Past warming trends due to solar activity versus human PostTue Mar 29, 2011 1:51 am  Reply with quote  

http://revolutionarypolitics.com/?p=5107

IMAGINE THAT AFTER THE MANY THOUSANDS OF WORDS POSTED ON THIS LINK!














NASA Study Acknowledges Solar Cycle, Not Man, Responsible for Past Warming
March 28, 2011 – 4:45 pm
Source: DailyTech

Some researchers believe that the solar cycle influences global climate changes. They attribute recent warming trends to cyclic variation. Skeptics, though, argue that there’s little hard evidence of a solar hand in recent climate changes.

“A new research report from a surprising source may help to lay this skepticism to rest. A study from NASA’s Goddard Space Flight Center in Greenbelt, Maryland looking at climate data over the past century has concluded that solar variation has made a significant impact on the Earth’s climate. The report concludes that evidence for climate changes based on solar radiation can be traced back as far as the Industrial Revolution.

Past research has shown that the sun goes through eleven year cycles. At the cycle’s peak, solar activity occurring near sunspots is particularly intense, basking the Earth in solar heat. According to Robert Cahalan, a climatologist at the Goddard Space Flight Center, “Right now, we are in between major ice ages, in a period that has been called the Holocene.” ” Read More: http://www.dailytech.com/NASA+Study+Acknowledges+Solar+Cycle+Not+Man+Responsible+for+Past+Warming/article15310.htm





Solar activity has shown a major spike in the twentieth century, corresponding to global warming. This cyclic variation was acknowledged by a recent NASA study, which reviewed a great deal of past climate data. (Source: Wikimedia Commons)
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The truth will set us all free PostTue Mar 29, 2011 1:55 am  Reply with quote  


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Leading German Meteorologist Calls Fighting Climate Change.. PostSun Apr 17, 2011 3:17 pm  Reply with quote  

a senseless physical endeavor.

Dr Wolfgand Thüne:


“For decades billions of US dollars of taxpayer money have been pumped into climate research without getting any detectable progress. Climate experts still have not even succeeded in delivering the physical proof of the claimed “greenhouse effect”.

The meteorological fact is that at no point on earth and at no time of the year do either the daily or yearly air temperature and CO2 concentrations causally correlate. There is no correlation! Also a radical reduction of ‘greenhouse gases’ in Europe, or ”achieving a ‘CO2-free Europe’, would have absolutely no impact on the weather over the course of the annual seasons.

No state, already under a mountain of debt, can morally justify the burning of billions, and yes trillions, on the ‘protection of the global climate’ without leaving proof of having any effect whatsoever.

The correlation between the CO2-value in Hawaii and the annually calculated ‘global temperature’ is a fictitious correlation that imposters as causal effect, but is in reality only a make believe correlation.

Humankind would be helped in practical ways if 20% of research resources were instead devoted to better weather forecasting and the remaining 80% devoted to combating hunger and poverty.”

Read more: http://notrickszone.com/2011/04/14/german-meteorology-expert-calls-fighting-climate-change-a-senseless-physical-endeavour/
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The 58th Bilderberg Meeting ON THE LIST GLOBAL COOLING PostSun Apr 17, 2011 3:46 pm  Reply with quote  

http://www.bilderbergmeetings.org/meeting_2010.html

The 58th Bilderberg Meeting will be held in Sitges, Spain 3 - 6 June 2010. The Conference will deal mainly with Financial Reform, Security, Cyber Technology, Energy, Pakistan, Afghanistan, World Food Problem, Global Cooling, Social Networking, Medical Science, EU-US relations. Approximately 130 participants will attend of whom about two-thirds come from Europe and the balance from North America. About one-third is from government and politics, and two-thirds are from finance, industry, labor, education, and communications. The meeting is private in order to encourage frank and open discussion.

Bilderberg takes its name from the hotel in Holland, where the first meeting took place in May 1954. That pioneering meeting grew out of the concern expressed by leading citizens on both sides of the Atlantic that Western Europe and North America were not working together as closely as they should on common problems of critical importance. It was felt that regular, off-the-record discussions would help create a better understanding of the complex forces and major trends affecting Western nations in the difficult post-war period. The Cold War has now ended. But in practically all respects there are more, not fewer, common problems - from trade to jobs, from monetary policy to investment, from ecological challenges to the task of promoting international security. It is hard to think of any major issue in either Europe or North America whose unilateral solution would not have repercussions for the other.
Thus the concept of a European-American forum has not been overtaken by time. The dialogue between these two regions is still - even increasingly - critical.

What is unique about Bilderberg as a forum is the broad cross-section of leading citizens that are assembled for nearly three days of informal and off-the-record discussion about topics of current concern especially in the fields of foreign affairs and the international economy; the strong feeling among participants that in view of the differing attitudes and experiences of the Western nations, there remains a clear need to further develop an understanding in which these concerns can be accommodated; the privacy of the meetings, which has no purpose other than to allow participants to speak their minds openly and freely.
In short, Bilderberg is a small, flexible, informal and off-the-record international forum in which different viewpoints can be expressed and mutual understanding enhanced.

Bilderberg's only activity is its annual Conference. At the meetings, no resolutions are proposed, no votes taken, and no policy statements issued. Since 1954, fifty-seven conferences have been held. The names of the participants are made available to the press. Participants are chosen for their experience, their knowledge, and their standing; all participants attend Bilderberg in a private and not an official capacity.

Bilderberg takes its name from the hotel in Holland, where the first meeting took place in May 1954. That pioneering meeting grew out of the concern expressed by leading citizens on both sides of the Atlantic that Western Europe and North America were not working together as closely as they should on common problems of critical importance. It was felt that regular, off-the-record discussions would help create a better understanding of the complex forces and major trends affecting Western nations in the difficult post-war period. The Cold War has now ended. But in practically all respects there are more, not fewer, common problems - from trade to jobs, from monetary policy to investment, from ecological challenges to the task of promoting international security. It is hard to think of any major issue in either Europe or North America whose unilateral solution would not have repercussions for the other.
Thus the concept of a European-American forum has not been overtaken by time. The dialogue between these two regions is still - even increasingly - critical.

What is unique about Bilderberg as a forum is the broad cross-section of leading citizens that are assembled for nearly three days of informal and off-the-record discussion about topics of current concern especially in the fields of foreign affairs and the international economy; the strong feeling among participants that in view of the differing attitudes and experiences of the Western nations, there remains a clear need to further develop an understanding in which these concerns can be accommodated; the privacy of the meetings, which has no purpose other than to allow participants to speak their minds openly and freely.
In short, Bilderberg is a small, flexible, informal and off-the-record international forum in which different viewpoints can be expressed and mutual understanding enhanced.
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Ethiopian 10.0 mile deep harpquakes triggering PostMon Jun 13, 2011 2:09 am  Reply with quote  

Long dormant volcano. This is a more homeopathic approach to counter climate change. The pattern is very clearly man made in origin.

http://www.iris.edu/seismon/zoom/events/?lon=41.63&lat=13.53

Last 2 Weeks of Earthquakes
(within 10 degrees of LON=41.63, LAT=13.53)


DATE links are into the IRIS WILBER system where you can see seismograms and request datasets.

DATE and TIME (UTC) LAT-ITUDE LONG-ITUDE MAG-NITUDE DEPTH km REGION
12-JUN-2011 21:41:57 13.31 41.67 4.6 15.3 ETHIOPIA
12-JUN-2011 21:37:14 13.23 41.81 4.5 15.0 ETHIOPIA
12-JUN-2011 21:03:23 13.53 41.63 5.7 9.9 ETHIOPIA
12-JUN-2011 20:32:40 13.44 41.69 5.4 10.0 ETHIOPIA
12-JUN-2011 19:44:16 13.37 41.64 4.8 9.9 ETHIOPIA
12-JUN-2011 19:37:42 13.32 41.61 4.7 10.1 ETHIOPIA
12-JUN-2011 19:21:45 12.48 41.75 5.0 10.0 ETHIOPIA
12-JUN-2011 18:01:19 12.82 41.93 4.5 10.1 ETHIOPIA
12-JUN-2011 17:47:20 13.54 41.59 4.7 10.0 ETHIOPIA
12-JUN-2011 17:18:09 13.38 41.76 4.8 9.9 ETHIOPIA
12-JUN-2011 16:33:11 13.51 41.72 4.3 10.0 ETHIOPIA
12-JUN-2011 16:24:44 13.44 41.68 4.8 10.0 ETHIOPIA
12-JUN-2011 16:12:02 13.40 41.73 4.7 10.0 ETHIOPIA
12-JUN-2011 16:09:30 13.44 41.70 4.5 2.9 ETHIOPIA
12-JUN-2011 15:37:05 13.46 41.68 5.1 10.0 ETHIOPIA

Thankfully the solar blocking emission from this event are of the earth which is far more ecologically friendly than other geoengineering techniques.
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Europe experiencing a very bitter winter so far PostFri Feb 03, 2012 4:01 am  Reply with quote  

Meanwhile in Kentucky we are seeing bulb shoots as large as 6 inches. Temps are way above average for this time of year. We are still waiting for winter to make its appearance ground hog or not!



http://www.terradaily.com/reports/163_dead_as_cold_snap_grips_Europe_999.html

163 dead as cold snap grips Europe
by Staff Writers
Warsaw (AFP) Feb 2, 2012

Freeze kills homeless man in Milan
Rome (AFP) Feb 2, 2012 - A homeless man died in Milan on Thursday as a result of the freezing weather, bringing to three the number of people killed in Italy in recent days as a result of the adverse weather conditions.
More than 2,000 people were also left without power in Tuscany including 1,500 in the mediaeval city of Siena, with the snow blanketing swathes of central and northern Italy and the frost biting in Alpine regions.

The situation "is particularly critical," said Franco Gabrielli, head of the civil protection agency. He said emergency services would be on alert and transport authorities would work to unblock road and rail snarls.

Schools were closed in Rome, where up to 15 centimetres (5.9 inches) of snow are expected in the night between Friday and Saturday.

A cold snap kept Europe in its icy grip Thursday, pushing the death toll to 163 as countries from Ukraine to Italy struggled with temperatures that plunged to record lows in some places.

Entire villages were cut off in parts of eastern Europe, trapping thousands, while road, air and rail links were severed and gas consumption shot up during what has been the severest winter in decades in some regions.
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Correlation between Artic ice and European weather anomolies PostFri Feb 03, 2012 4:06 am  Reply with quote  



Correlation between summer Arctic sea ice cover and winter weather in Central Europe
by Staff Writers
Potsdam, Germany (SPX) Feb 03, 2012

This graphic illustrates the amplified warming of air masses above the Arctic ocean. Starting with the lowest sea ice cover in September evolving to the following winter temperatures are increased in years with less sea ice cover notably in the lower troposphere. Black contoured areas are particularly significant. scaling of x-axis: temperature diffenrence (Celvin) between means of years with low sea ice (2000-2009) and high sea ice (1989-1999) concentrations. scaling of y-axis: hight in hPa as pressure coordinates. Graphic: Ralf Jaiser, Alfred Wegener Institute

Even if the current weather situation may seem to speak against it, the probability of cold winters with much snow in Central Europe rises when the Arctic is covered by less sea ice in summer.

Scientists of the Research Unit Potsdam of the Alfred Wegener Institute for Polar and Marine Research in the Helmholtz Association have decrypted a mechanism in which a shrinking summertime sea ice cover changes the air pressure zones in the Arctic atmosphere and impacts our European winter weather. These results of a global climate analysis were recently published in a study in the scientific journal Tellus A.

If there is a particularly large-scale melt of Arctic sea ice in summer, as observed in recent years, two important effects are intensified. Firstly, the retreat of the light ice surface reveals the darker ocean, causing it to warm up more in summer from the solar radiation (ice-albedo feedback mechanism). Secondly, the diminished ice cover can no longer prevent the heat stored in the ocean being released into the atmosphere (lid effect).

As a result of the decreased sea ice cover the air is warmed more greatly than it used to be particularly in autumn and winter because during this period the ocean is warmer than the atmosphere. "These higher temperatures can be proven by current measurements from the Arctic regions," reports Ralf Jaiser, lead author of the publication from the Research Unit Potsdam of the Alfred Wegener Institute.

The warming of the air near to the ground leads to rising movements and the atmosphere becomes less stable.
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PostSun Apr 22, 2012 12:07 am  Reply with quote  

http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/home-news/the-weatherman-caught-in-a-media-storm-7665925.html

It's surely one of the more sensational weather forecasts of the last few years – the prediction that next month will be the coldest May in Britain for a century.

It was splashed all over the front page of the Daily Express on Thursday and doubtless sent a shiver down the spines of many people already fed up with the chilly spring.

But it didn't come from the Met Office. No, this prophecy of a truly out-of-season wintry month came from an independent weather forecaster, Piers Corbyn, using what he terms his "solar weather technique" which involves calculating how solar particles will interact with the Earth. However, Mr Corbyn, 65, who has a degree in physics and runs a company named WeatherAction from an office in south London, declines to disclose his methodology in detail.

He specialises in long-range forecasts, especially those concerned with extreme weather events, and four days ago, in dramatic headlines on his website, he prophesied "the coldest or near coldest May for 100 years in central and east parts with a record run of bitter northerly winds ... spring put into reverse." He added that his confidence regarding mean temperatures in east and south-east England was 80 per cent for them being the coldest in 100 years, and 90 per cent for them being in the coldest five years of the century.

The disruption of the Gulf Stream Loop has affected the trade winds in the Atlantic in my humble opinion.

Of course if you look at historic loops and compare to after spill loops it is obvious.

The earth sun connections add a further dynamic that influences the entire planet. Interesting, the US just had the warmest winter on record and European temperature means are by far colder. It'a all in the realm of possibilities.....
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Gulf Stream Loop link PostSun Apr 22, 2012 12:09 am  Reply with quote  

http://polar.ncep.noaa.gov/ofs/viewer.shtml?-gulfmex-cur-0-large-rundate=latest
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Particulate matter is a very effective cooling element PostSat Apr 28, 2012 10:17 pm  Reply with quote  

but it is also bad for your health.

http://www.seas.harvard.edu/news-events/press-releases/warming-hole-delayed-climate-change-over-eastern-united-states
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UK still in the deep grip of winter PostMon May 07, 2012 1:34 am  Reply with quote  

http://www.express.co.uk/posts/view/318254/Winter-to-last-until-June
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So as the gulf stream goes so does my family in Britain PostSat May 19, 2012 4:29 am  Reply with quote  

The warm water conveyor belt has been altered and so have the polar fronts.

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/topics/weather/9272469/Britain-colder-than-Arctic-and-Antarctic-with-just-two-weeks-until-summer.html

Here's the link to the GSL. Futures traders should take note......

http://polar.ncep.noaa.gov/ofs/viewer.shtml?-gulfmex-cur-0-large-rundate=latest

It's a very important component that should be accounted for in all weather models. jimho
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